• Democrats confident: The party enters the day with a 9-point advantage in the generic congressional ballot, according to CNN’s Poll of Polls, and forecasters have consistently moved competitive seats in its favor. Democrats also have leads in five key Senate races, according to NYT-Siena polls.
• Can Republicans stay ahead? The GOP built in a hedge with unprecedented redistricting and is defending Senate seats in red states that went for President Donald Trump three times. Here are the Senate seats most likely to flip. And here’s our case for why each party will — or won’t — have a good night.
