From left, Democrats Angie Nixon of Florida, Annie Andrews of South Carolina and Peggy Flanagan of Minnesota.
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New surveys confirm just how much Democrats have expanded the Senate map in the 2026 midterm elections.

The New York Times/Siena polls — the first high-quality surveys in some states — show Democrats with a bona fide pickup opportunity in South Carolina and possibly another one in Florida. The Minnesota survey, meanwhile, suggests that GOP hopes of an unlikely pickup there might have been dashed.